How it works
Everything on Oddrail is virtual. Nothing here accepts a wager, pays out money, or gives betting advice. What follows is how the exchange works and what the numbers on it mean.
Getting started
Create an account and it opens with 10,000 virtual credits. Seasons run as calendar months: every account starts each month at 10,000 again, and the leaderboard ranks return within the season. There is nothing to deposit and nothing to withdraw, now or later.
What a YES/NO market is
Every market is one question with two sides. A share pays 100 credits if the answer turns out YES and nothing if it turns out NO, so a price of 30 is the market saying roughly a 30% chance. Buying NO at 30 costs 70 and pays 100 if the answer is NO. You can sell before the answer is known; the price is whatever someone else will pay.
What you can trade
Goals by the clock — will the match reach 1 or 2 goals by minute 15, 30, 45+, 60, 75 or 90+. Result and totals — the match result, over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals, both teams to score, clean sheets, and whether the total is odd or even. Season questions run the length of a competition.
Where the prices come from
A statistical model estimates a score distribution for each match and every market is derived from it, so the whole grid agrees with itself. That model seeds the order book, and from then on the price is what people trade at. The model's opening price and the market's price are not the same number, and both are shown.
How fast is the data?
Not fast enough to trade against a television. Match data arrives from a third-party feed a median of about one minute after a goal is scored, and sometimes much later. Prices on a live match are therefore behind the pitch, which is one more reason the credits are virtual.
Can I win or lose real money?
No. Credits have no value, cannot be bought, cannot be cashed out, and are reset every month. Oddrail is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers.
Is the model any good?
Sometimes, and the record page says where and by how much — including the markets it gets wrong. It is computed from settled outcomes rather than claimed, and it publishes the misses beside the hits. Read it before you trust a price.
See the model's record