Norway · Eliteserien

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF

Kick-off: Sun 2 Aug, 15:00 UTC

Markets

Solid bar: model probability · Hollow ring: market probability · Tinted span: the gap between them

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Match result (1X2)

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home

Model67.8%

Market59.3%

Fair odds1.48

Best odds1.67

Avg odds1.62

Draw

Model15.8%

Market21.6%

Fair odds6.31

Best odds4.33

Avg odds4.15

Away

Model16.4%

Market19.1%

Fair odds6.11

Best odds5.04

Avg odds4.66

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 1h ago

Double chance

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home or Draw

Model83.6%

Market82.2%

Fair odds1.20

Best odds1.21

Avg odds1.17

Home or Away

Model84.2%

Market80.1%

Fair odds1.19

Best odds1.23

Avg odds1.20

Draw or Away

Model32.2%

Market37.7%

Fair odds3.10

Best odds2.30

Avg odds2.23

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 1h ago

Over/Under 2.5

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Over 2.5

Model66.1%

Market67.3%

Fair odds1.51

Best odds1.45

Avg odds1.42

Under 2.5

Model33.9%

Market32.7%

Fair odds2.95

Best odds2.88

Avg odds2.69

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 1h ago

Both teams to score

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Yes

Model58.9%

Market65.3%

Fair odds1.70

Best odds1.50

Avg odds1.45

Model41.1%

Market34.7%

Fair odds2.44

Best odds2.63

Avg odds2.53

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 1h ago