Finland · Veikkausliiga

AC Oulu vs Ilves

Kick-off: Sun 2 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Markets

Solid bar: model probability · Hollow ring: market probability · Tinted span: the gap between them

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Match result (1X2)

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home

Model39.8%

Market40.3%

Fair odds2.51

Best odds2.45

Avg odds2.32

Draw

Model23.0%

Market26.2%

Fair odds4.34

Best odds3.55

Avg odds3.47

Away

Model37.2%

Market33.5%

Fair odds2.69

Best odds2.98

Avg odds2.76

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 23m ago

Double chance

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home or Draw

Model62.8%

Market66.1%

Fair odds1.59

Best odds1.50

Avg odds1.41

Home or Away

Model77.0%

Market74.8%

Fair odds1.30

Best odds1.30

Avg odds1.27

Draw or Away

Model60.2%

Market59.0%

Fair odds1.66

Best odds1.58

Avg odds1.55

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 23m ago

Over/Under 2.5

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Over 2.5

Model56.1%

Market56.4%

Fair odds1.78

Best odds1.72

Avg odds1.68

Under 2.5

Model43.9%

Market43.6%

Fair odds2.28

Best odds2.18

Avg odds2.12

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 23m ago

Both teams to score

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Yes

Model57.0%

Market61.0%

Fair odds1.76

Best odds1.57

Avg odds1.54

Model43.0%

Market39.0%

Fair odds2.32

Best odds2.35

Avg odds2.28

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Computed 23m ago