Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes L.P.vsDefensa Y Justicia

Kick-off: Sat 1 Aug, 21:00

Markets

Solid bar: model probability · Hollow ring: market probability · Tinted span: the gap between them

Match result (1X2)

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home

Model63.1%

Market56.6%

Fair odds1.59

Best odds1.73

Avg odds1.70

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw

Model24.8%

Market27.3%

Fair odds4.03

Best odds3.48

Avg odds3.36

Edge—

Insufficient data

Away

Model12.1%

Market16.1%

Fair odds8.24

Best odds6.50

Avg odds5.51

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Double chance

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home or Draw

Model87.9%

Market85.7%

Fair odds1.14

Best odds1.16

Avg odds1.14

Edge—

Insufficient data

Home or Away

Model75.2%

Market73.6%

Fair odds1.33

Best odds1.33

Avg odds1.29

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw or Away

Model36.9%

Market40.7%

Fair odds2.71

Best odds2.18

Avg odds2.11

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Over/Under 2.5

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Over 2.5

Model37.9%

Market36.4%

Fair odds2.64

Best odds2.57

Avg odds2.51

Edge—

Insufficient data

Under 2.5

Model62.1%

Market63.6%

Fair odds1.61

Best odds1.53

Avg odds1.51

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Both teams to score

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Yes

Model46.8%

Market38.9%

Fair odds2.13

Best odds2.40

Avg odds2.32

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model53.2%

Market61.1%

Fair odds1.88

Best odds1.62

Avg odds1.55

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago