Brazil · Serie A

CoritibavsCruzeiro

0–1FT

Markets

Solid bar: model probability · Hollow ring: market probability · Tinted span: the gap between them

Match result (1X2)

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home

Model22.1%

Market28.6%

Fair odds4.53

Best odds3.40

Avg odds3.26

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw

Model28.2%

Market29.6%

Fair odds3.54

Best odds3.30

Avg odds3.16

Edge—

Insufficient data

Away

Model49.7%

Market41.8%

Fair odds2.01

Best odds2.39

Avg odds2.28

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Double chance

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home or Draw

Model50.3%

Market57.0%

Fair odds1.99

Best odds1.65

Avg odds1.61

Edge—

Insufficient data

Home or Away

Model71.8%

Market70.9%

Fair odds1.39

Best odds1.36

Avg odds1.34

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw or Away

Model77.9%

Market72.1%

Fair odds1.28

Best odds1.36

Avg odds1.32

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Over/Under 2.5

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Over 2.5

Model42.1%

Market41.3%

Fair odds2.37

Best odds2.35

Avg odds2.25

Edge—

Insufficient data

Under 2.5

Model57.9%

Market58.7%

Fair odds1.73

Best odds1.71

Avg odds1.63

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago

Both teams to score

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Yes

Model51.1%

Market48.6%

Fair odds1.96

Best odds1.93

Avg odds1.91

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model48.9%

Market51.4%

Fair odds2.05

Best odds1.91

Avg odds1.81

Edge—

Insufficient data

These teams sit outside the model's training coverage until their league season starts — probabilities follow the margin-free market consensus, and value classification stays off.

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.29-2336+market-implied · Computed 5h ago