World · UEFA Champions League

Lech PoznanvsAarhus

Kick-off: Wed 29 Jul, 17:00

Markets

Solid bar: model probability · Hollow ring: market probability · Tinted span: the gap between them

Match result (1X2)

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home

Model64.0%

Market56.7%

Fair odds1.56

Best odds1.77

Avg odds1.70

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw

Model18.7%

Market23.2%

Fair odds5.35

Best odds4.10

Avg odds3.88

Edge—

Insufficient data

Away

Model17.3%

Market20.1%

Fair odds5.77

Best odds4.78

Avg odds4.44

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.28-1307+market-implied · Computed 1h ago

Double chance

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Home or Draw

Model82.7%

Market81.3%

Fair odds1.21

Best odds1.23

Avg odds1.18

Edge—

Insufficient data

Home or Away

Model81.3%

Market78.3%

Fair odds1.23

Best odds1.25

Avg odds1.22

Edge—

Insufficient data

Draw or Away

Model36.0%

Market40.4%

Fair odds2.78

Best odds2.15

Avg odds2.10

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.28-1307+market-implied · Computed 1h ago

Over/Under 2.5

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Over 2.5

Model57.9%

Market58.3%

Fair odds1.73

Best odds1.66

Avg odds1.63

Edge—

Insufficient data

Under 2.5

Model42.1%

Market41.7%

Fair odds2.38

Best odds2.30

Avg odds2.22

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.28-1307+market-implied · Computed 1h ago

Both teams to score

Pre-matchInsufficient data

Confidence: Low

Yes

Model55.9%

Market58.0%

Fair odds1.79

Best odds1.68

Avg odds1.63

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model44.1%

Market42.0%

Fair odds2.27

Best odds2.25

Avg odds2.17

Edge—

Insufficient data

Model rationale

Goal rates inferred from market consensus (teams outside training data)

Model spor-dixon-coles:dc-2026.07.28-1307+market-implied · Computed 1h ago